Discussion:
WLC 2023 : ROUND 17: 2023 Mar 01
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NN
2023-02-25 23:00:55 UTC
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Marmaduke Jinks
2023-02-26 10:58:25 UTC
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Post by NN
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Cheers NN.

Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(

I'll submit all the entries on one email

Elton:
30 36 5 42 21 2 20 18 8 44 19 25 27 16 33 28 26 14 24 7 55 4 59 37

Jerome:
35 19 21 11 3 47 41 17 5 13 7 53 8 31 1 55 37 43 2 29 34 40 23 59

Jinks
14 58 53 23 13 3 56 15 50 11 31 45 34 52 20 29 49 10 22 39 35 42 9 32

:-)
MJ
nigel
2023-02-27 12:03:44 UTC
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Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(
Was it free-range? Was its occupant sneezing?

Nigel
NN
2023-02-27 12:15:18 UTC
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RANDOM : [57, 59, 13, 33, 51, 31, 46, 48, 16, 27, 47, 37, 15, 1, 4, 10, 39, 3, 6, 24, 42, 23, 50, 22]

NIGEL : [59, 13, 33, 51, 31, 46, 48, 16, 27, 47, 37, 15, 1, 4, 10, 39, 3, 6, 24, 42, 23, 50, 22, 57]

NN : [9, 42, 6, 18, 46, 20, 16, 48, 21, 58, 4, 45, 28, 54, 59, 33, 19, 10, 31, 34, 32, 57, 27, 3]
Marmaduke Jinks
2023-02-27 15:53:19 UTC
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Post by nigel
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(
Was it free-range? Was its occupant sneezing?
Nigel
I thought you'd gorn "walkabout" ;-)

It splatted right in my face ;-)

Now that I have a zero out of the way then hopefully no more.

MJ
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-02-28 14:14:08 UTC
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在 2023年2月27日星期一 UTC+8 23:53:32，<Marmaduke Jinks> 写道：
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Post by nigel
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(
Was it free-range? Was its occupant sneezing?
Nigel
I thought you'd gorn "walkabout" ;-)
It splatted right in my face ;-)
Now that I have a zero out of the way then hopefully no more.
MJ
a duck egg last round indicates that you probably will outperform this round, isn't?
Marmaduke Jinks
2023-02-28 16:40:34 UTC
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Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Post by nigel
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(
Was it free-range? Was its occupant sneezing?
Nigel
I thought you'd gorn "walkabout" ;-)
It splatted right in my face ;-)
Now that I have a zero out of the way then hopefully no more.
MJ
a duck egg last round indicates that you probably will outperform this
round, isn't?

~~~

Well Nan, another zero is in the stats for what the Jinks does here (a zero
can follow a zero). But not likely. So yes out perform last times go is on
the cards.

MJ
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-01 16:24:17 UTC
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在 2023年3月1日星期三 UTC+8 00:40:52，<Marmaduke Jinks> 写道：
Post by 王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Post by nigel
Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Oh dear the Jinks scored a duck egg in round 16 :-(
Was it free-range? Was its occupant sneezing?
Nigel
I thought you'd gorn "walkabout" ;-)
It splatted right in my face ;-)
Now that I have a zero out of the way then hopefully no more.
MJ
a duck egg last round indicates that you probably will outperform this round, isn't?
~~~
Well Nan, another zero is in the stats for what the Jinks does here (a zero
can follow a zero). But not likely. So yes out perform last times go is on
the cards.
MJ
then i may better eliminate all your number as a bet
nan
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-01 16:47:52 UTC
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Nan
13 5 1 47 37 51 10 54 28 21 4 48 27 16 20 18 33 6 42 59 9 57 31 46
leela
2 44 30 26 8 38 7 1 54 28 47 21 51 37 4 27 16 46 33 5 6 59 9 57
Alphazero
22 50 23 24 3 39 1 15 37 47 51 13 10 4 27 48 16 46 33 6 42 59 57 31
NN
2023-03-01 22:19:21 UTC
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Result = [5, 28, 36, 39, 48, 49] + bonus= 35


RANDOM caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 25 [17, 8]
NIGEL caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 27 [18, 9]
NN caught: {48, 28} ==> score: 29 [17, 12]
Nan caught: {48, 28, 5} ==> score: 52 [23, 16, 13]
Leela caught: {28, 5} ==> score: 20 [15, 5]
Alphazero caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 28 [19, 9]
Elton caught: {28, 36, 5} ==> score: 54 [23, 22, 9]
Jerome caught: {5} +b ==> score: 16 [16]
Jinks caught: {49, 39} +b ==> score: 13 [8, 5]
--------------------



NN [23, 59, 72, 79, 28, 40, 45, 0, 9, 52, 40, 14, 13, 38, 19, 20, 29] = 580
Nan [36, 18, 33, 55, 24, 38, 61, 32, 26, 25, 31, 19, 2, 44, 25, 27, 52] = 548
Jerome [23, 10, 2, 24, 37, 29, 37, 56, 57, 48, 28, 60, 5, 15, 69, 24, 16] = 540
Random [28, 14, 47, 67, 31, 35, 43, 40, 40, 7, 22, 2, 45, 31, 26, 31, 25] = 534
Nigel [32, 17, 51, 46, 10, 39, 46, 43, 19, 8, 24, 3, 48, 33, 28, 33, 27] = 507
Jinks [39, 11, 12, 54, 39, 68, 59, 51, 21, 13, 21, 21, 28, 38, 16, 0, 13] = 504
Elton [56, 51, 15, 23, 12, 38, 18, 6, 25, 17, 17, 51, 9, 31, 45, 18, 54] = 486
Leela [28, 4, 43, 30, 19, 48, 64, 30, 20, 22, 33, 19, 4, 34, 32, 35, 20] = 485
Alphazero [29, 1, 16, 49, 24, 20, 62, 29, 15, 20, 30, 19, 2, 50, 24, 19, 28] = 437

Well done to Nan and Elton. Excellent scores.
Nan jumps to second place, who saw that coming.....
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-02 02:01:27 UTC
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在 2023年3月2日星期四 UTC+8 06:19:23，<NN> 写道：
Result = [5, 28, 36, 39, 48, 49] + bonus= 35
RANDOM caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 25 [17, 8]
NIGEL caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 27 [18, 9]
NN caught: {48, 28} ==> score: 29 [17, 12]
Nan caught: {48, 28, 5} ==> score: 52 [23, 16, 13]
Leela caught: {28, 5} ==> score: 20 [15, 5]
Alphazero caught: {48, 39} ==> score: 28 [19, 9]
Elton caught: {28, 36, 5} ==> score: 54 [23, 22, 9]
Jerome caught: {5} +b ==> score: 16 [16]
Jinks caught: {49, 39} +b ==> score: 13 [8, 5]
--------------------
NN [23, 59, 72, 79, 28, 40, 45, 0, 9, 52, 40, 14, 13, 38, 19, 20, 29] = 580
Nan [36, 18, 33, 55, 24, 38, 61, 32, 26, 25, 31, 19, 2, 44, 25, 27, 52] = 548
Jerome [23, 10, 2, 24, 37, 29, 37, 56, 57, 48, 28, 60, 5, 15, 69, 24, 16] = 540
Random [28, 14, 47, 67, 31, 35, 43, 40, 40, 7, 22, 2, 45, 31, 26, 31, 25] = 534
Nigel [32, 17, 51, 46, 10, 39, 46, 43, 19, 8, 24, 3, 48, 33, 28, 33, 27] = 507
Jinks [39, 11, 12, 54, 39, 68, 59, 51, 21, 13, 21, 21, 28, 38, 16, 0, 13] = 504
Elton [56, 51, 15, 23, 12, 38, 18, 6, 25, 17, 17, 51, 9, 31, 45, 18, 54] = 486
Leela [28, 4, 43, 30, 19, 48, 64, 30, 20, 22, 33, 19, 4, 34, 32, 35, 20] = 485
Alphazero [29, 1, 16, 49, 24, 20, 62, 29, 15, 20, 30, 19, 2, 50, 24, 19, 28] = 437
Well done to Nan and Elton. Excellent scores.
Nan jumps to second place, who saw that coming.....
I didn't see me ranking 2nd either....
nigel
2023-03-02 11:30:49 UTC
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I believe it is now impossible for me to win.

Even if I get perfect scores in the last three rounds, I will only make
up 18 on random :-(

Nigel
Post by NN
Random [28, 14, 47, 67, 31, 35, 43, 40, 40, 7, 22, 2, 45, 31, 26, 31, 25] = 534
Nigel [32, 17, 51, 46, 10, 39, 46, 43, 19, 8, 24, 3, 48, 33, 28, 33, 27] = 507
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-02 14:17:57 UTC
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在 2023年3月2日星期四 UTC+8 19:31:00，<nigel> 写道：
Post by nigel
I believe it is now impossible for me to win.
Even if I get perfect scores in the last three rounds, I will only make
up 18 on random :-(
Nigel
Random [28, 14, 47, 67, 31, 35, 43, 40, 40, 7, 22, 2, 45, 31, 26, 31, 25] = 534
Nigel [32, 17, 51, 46, 10, 39, 46, 43, 19, 8, 24, 3, 48, 33, 28, 33, 27] = 507
A PERFECT 100 SCORE is still possible....The difficult thing is, where to collect seeds.
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-02 14:30:36 UTC
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Axioms:

Forecasting begins with selecting seed numbers.

Although the number of combinations continues to increase, the total number of variations remains the same.

Concept of importance

The chain of suspicion: A forecaster cannot determine whether other forecasters have produced accurate seed numbers

There is benevolence and malice among forecasters. Good and evil are imprecise terms in science, so their meanings must be limited: kindness involves not actively judging and eliminating numbers, but only adjusting the weight, whereas maliciousness represents the opposite.

It is impossible for one forecaster to determine whether another forecaster is good or evil.

It is impossible for a text forecaster to judge the quality of a prediction made by another forecaster.

Forecasters cannot predict whether another forecaster will initiate a change or eliminate the forecaster’s numbers.

Forecasters cannot tell whether another forecaster is benevolent or malicious.
nigel
2023-03-03 11:42:17 UTC
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Post by 王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
It is impossible for one forecaster to determine whether another
forecaster is good or evil.
Sometimes the forecaster drops a pretty big hint.

Evil Nigel
王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
2023-03-04 02:14:18 UTC
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在 2023年3月3日星期五 UTC+8 19:42:25，<nigel> 写道：
Post by nigel
Post by 王乾懿 Wang Qianyi (Nan)
It is impossible for one forecaster to determine whether another
forecaster is good or evil.
Sometimes the forecaster drops a pretty big hint.
Evil Nigel
sometimes dog drops us a big hint, and no mortal could find it out.
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