Attn Nigel

[Marmaduke Jinks]

Congrats for keeping it up ;-)

Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?

MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

[nigel]

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Congrats for keeping it up ;-)
Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?

Frayed knot, nothing remotely approaching significance. It was
right/wrong too often to offer any pecuniary advantages.

I've shifted my attention to a tiddly little system that's so simple
even Parpacluck might think of it in a couple of lifetimes. It might
just be a decent run of good luck or it might be the basis of a
competitive WLC system this year. Fingers crossed.

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

Evil Nigel

[Marmaduke Jinks]

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Congrats for keeping it up ;-)
Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?

Frayed knot, nothing remotely approaching significance. It was right/wrong
too often to offer any pecuniary advantages.
I've shifted my attention to a tiddly little system that's so simple even
Parpacluck might think of it in a couple of lifetimes. It might just be a
decent run of good luck or it might be the basis of a competitive WLC
system this year. Fingers crossed.

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

Evil Nigel

Thanks for keeping us entertained :-)

MJ

[nigel]

Post by Marmaduke Jinks

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Congrats for keeping it up ;-)
Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?

Frayed knot, nothing remotely approaching significance. It was right/wrong
too often to offer any pecuniary advantages.
I've shifted my attention to a tiddly little system that's so simple even
Parpacluck might think of it in a couple of lifetimes. It might just be a
decent run of good luck or it might be the basis of a competitive WLC
system this year. Fingers crossed.

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

Evil Nigel

Thanks for keeping us entertained :-)
MJ

My system's run of 'good luck' came to a resounding crash with the
midweek draws.

Oh well, back to the drawing board :-(

Nigel

[nigel]

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Congrats for keeping it up ;-)
Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?
MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

I've been accumulating (at a very leisurely pace) further analysis.

Comparing the 'best match' predictions with the actual outcomes had a
-9.5% correlation.
Comparing an average of the best 10 predictions with the actual outcomes
had a +11% correlation!
Comparing an average of the 2nd to 9th best predictions with the actual
outcomes had a +15.1% correlation.

That's over a six week time period so none of those correlations are
significant. In any case, a profitable lottery system would probably
need something like a 90% correlation.

Fun, innit!

Nigel

[nigel]

Post by nigel

Post by Marmaduke Jinks
Congrats for keeping it up ;-)
Did you learn much? Did you find a bias?
MJ
(I have post here, can't post further down the thread)

I've been accumulating (at a very leisurely pace) further analysis.
Comparing the 'best match' predictions with the actual outcomes had a
-9.5% correlation.
Comparing an average of the best 10 predictions with the actual outcomes
had a +11% correlation!
Comparing an average of the 2nd to 9th best predictions with the actual
outcomes had a +15.1% correlation.
That's over a six week time period so none of those correlations are
significant. In any case, a profitable lottery system would probably
need something like a 90% correlation.
Fun, innit!
Nigel

After Saturday's results:
Comparing the 'best match' predictions with the actual outcomes had a
-16.4% correlation.
Comparing an average of the best 10 predictions with the actual outcomes
had a +9.9% correlation!
Comparing an average of the 2nd to 9th best predictions with the actual
outcomes had a +16.2% correlation.

:-)